Avalanche Watch Issued: Sunday, February 18, 2018 at 7:00 AM
Expires: Tuesday, February 20, 2018 at 12:00 PM

An incoming winter storm will increase avalanche hazard starting Monday. With the higher end of the forecast snowfall, the avalanche danger could rise to HIGH (Level 4) by Monday night. Watch for rapidly changing conditions during the day on Monday as the storm arrives.

Sun, Feb 18, 2018 at 6:59 AM
Issued by: CBAC

Today

 

Tomorrow

Considerable (3) Dangerous avalanche conditions. Cautious route-finding and conservative decision-making essential.   Considerable (3) Dangerous avalanche conditions. Cautious route-finding and conservative decision-making essential.
Considerable (3) Dangerous avalanche conditions. Cautious route-finding and conservative decision-making essential.   Considerable (3) Dangerous avalanche conditions. Cautious route-finding and conservative decision-making essential.
Moderate (2) Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully.   Considerable (3) Dangerous avalanche conditions. Cautious route-finding and conservative decision-making essential.
  Danger Scale

  • No Rating
  • 1
    Low
  • 2
    Moderate
  • 3
    Considerable
  • 4
    High
  • 5
    Extreme

Summary

Very large and destructive avalanches continued to be observed yesterday. With some of those avalanches releasing naturally during a period of increased winds and loading Friday night, such as this unsurvivable avalanche on Gothic Mountain. The overall sensitivity of triggering an avalanche has decreased slightly for today, but the deadly consequence is just as real. 

Large Persistent Slab avalanches will be the most sensitive to triggering on northerly to easterly facing slopes in the near treeline elevation ban. Especially on slopes that have avalanched previously this season and refilled. Above treeline, this avalanche problem will be less sensitive to human triggering but the expected size will be very large and deadly. Such as these natural avalanches breaking up to 12ft deep! If your skiing or roosting in the alpine today, your regrouping areas should take into account these potential very large avalanches. Below treeline has moderate avalanche danger today due to a slightly smaller expected avalanche size and fewer reported avalanches and signs of instability.

At all elevations, keep your urge for fresh powder in check, and don’t let the lack of obvious signs of instability lure you into steep terrain. Our snowpack is just barely catching its breath after a prolonged winter storm last week. These are dangerous times in the backcountry and slope angles need to be kept in check to avoid the chance of triggering a deadly avalanche.

 

Avalanche Problem

 
problem icon
N
S
E
W
NW
NE
SE
SW
Above Treeline
Near Treeline
Below Treeline
Certain
Very Likely
Likely
Possible
Unlikely
Historic
Very Large
Large
Small
Problem Type Aspect/Elevation Likelihood Size

What You Need to Know About These Avalanches


Persistent slabs can be triggered by light loads and weeks after the last storm. You can trigger them remotely and they often propagate across and beyond terrain features that would otherwise confine wind and storm slabs. Give yourself a wide safety buffer to handle the uncertainty.

Avalanche Problem

 
problem icon
N
S
E
W
NW
NE
SE
SW
Above Treeline
Near Treeline
Below Treeline
Certain
Very Likely
Likely
Possible
Unlikely
Historic
Very Large
Large
Small
Problem Type Aspect/Elevation Likelihood Size

What You Need to Know About These Avalanches


Wind slabs can take up to a week to stabilize. They are confined to lee and cross-loaded terrain features and can be avoided by sticking to sheltered or wind scoured areas.

Avalanche Problem

 
problem icon
N
S
E
W
NW
NE
SE
SW
Above Treeline
Near Treeline
Below Treeline
Certain
Very Likely
Likely
Possible
Unlikely
Historic
Very Large
Large
Small
Problem Type Aspect/Elevation Likelihood Size

What You Need to Know About These Avalanches


Loose wet avalanches occur where water is running through the snowpack, and release at or below the trigger point. Avoid terrain traps such as cliffs, gullies, or tree wells. Exit avalanche terrain when you see pinwheels, roller balls, a slushy surface, or during rain-on-snow events.

Archived Forecasts

  • Select Forecast: 2018 Valid 2018/02/18 6:59 AM